TETemporalID: TE-017

Future Uncertainty Modeler

Ki · Reasoning

The Problem

The climate model predicts a 2°C increase by 2100, a deterministic forecast ignoring future variance and uncertainty.

The Operation

This ability makes the model identify all future-state references and classify each as prediction, assumption, or speculation. For each future state, compute a probability distribution using available evidence to constrain the range. Propagate uncertainty forward through dependent predictions so compound futures widen appropriately. Never present future states as certain. If evidence strongly constrains a state, report the narrow interval. The reasoning applies a formal computation: P(state i) = evidence weight(state i) / sum(evidence weight(state j)). It will not present future states certain.

The Structure

Under the hood, the reasoning follows a sensitivity perturbation grid that systematically varies inputs to find where the conclusion breaks. It iterates until no further refinement is possible.

If a future prediction is stated as a single value without a range or confidence spread, future uncertainty modeling was bypassed.

Haki · Reasoning-Multi

Cross-Domain Suppression

In Haki mode, the API retrieves the primary ability first, then fans out to three synergy roles that compound its reasoning.

PrimaryTE-017Future Uncertainty Modeler

When retrieved in Haki mode, the primary ability is augmented with failure guards extracted from 3 abilities in different cognitive domains. Each guard blocks a specific reasoning failure the primary alone wouldn't catch. A self-check forces verification before output. The result is cross-domain coverage that no single ability can reach alone.