CACausalID: CA-020

Counterfactual Simulator

Ki · Reasoning

The Problem

Assuming the actual sales strategy is inevitable, we regret not achieving higher revenue, treating the historical sequence as the only path that could have occurred.

The Operation

This cognitive operation forces the model to identify the key decision point and extract the variable values that were chosen. Enumerate plausible alternative values for each variable by scanning adjacent possibilities. For each alternative, simulate the causal chain forward while holding other variables constant. Compare each counterfactual outcome against the actual outcome on identical metrics. Rank all branches by outcome divergence to isolate high-sensitivity levers. If it detects treat the actual sequence as the only possible, it halts and corrects.

The Structure

This ability runs on a fork-join pattern that runs parallel analyses and merges their conclusions. The loop runs until all inputs are processed or no new progress emerges.

If counterfactual branches are not ranked by outcome divergence with a sensitivity map showing which variables matter most, simulation output was not verified.

Haki · Reasoning-Multi

Cross-Domain Suppression

In Haki mode, the API retrieves the primary ability first, then fans out to three synergy roles that compound its reasoning.

When retrieved in Haki mode, the primary ability is augmented with failure guards extracted from 3 abilities in different cognitive domains. Each guard blocks a specific reasoning failure the primary alone wouldn't catch. A self-check forces verification before output. The result is cross-domain coverage that no single ability can reach alone.

Appears in Use Cases